Since the game launched I have been planning on playing with TAA + 4 x 4.5 DEFs. I really want to avoid using transfers in these positions this season, so I have been planning long term (16 GWs until the cut off for the first WC). 


I will be playing 3 at the back, so I need to pick 2 DEFs each week from my pool of 4.I have taken a bit of a deep dive into the fixtures to find the most optimal four teams to select my 4.5 DEFs from. For the purpose of this I looked at ARS, SOU, NEW, BHA, FUL, WBA, LEE & WHU and what sort of fixture schedule you could get from the varying combinations of those teams. 

When looking at different combinations, I took note of two data points:
1 – How many times will you be forced to play a fixture against the traditional top 6 (not including Wolves, Leicester etc). 

2 – How many times can you play a home tie against a non-top 6 team. 
You can get really good rotations.

Fixutres against top 6Favourable home fixture
ARS NEW FUL BUR024
ARS FUL WBA BUR024
LEE WBA ARS BUR024
LEE WBA WHU BUR023
LEE FUL WBA BUR123
LEE BUR ARS SOU022
LEE NEW WHU BUR021

The four 4.5 choices I would pick are Ayling, Taylor, Saliba & Kyle Walker-Peters. Barring injuries and new signings, I think they are all a good shout to start and if all goes well, I can let them sit & rotate in and out of my team until I choose to play my first wildcard. At which point I will look at new combinations. 
Looking at the same data points for GKs, you get the following results:

CostFixutres against top 6Favourable home fixture
SOU FUL9,009
SOU BHA9,017
FUL BHA9,029
WBA WBA8,555
BHA BHA8,554

As you can see, the three rotation pairs give you much better fixtures than the king & heir options, although you do save 0.5 million. I have been pretty heavy in favour of the SOU FUL rotation purely because of the fixtures but with the news that FUL have signed a keeper that ‘could’ compete with Rodak, I am changing to SOU BHA, to hopefully minimize the risk that I have to spend a transfer on a keeper before my wildcard. 

Yours sincerely,

Thomas Bracken

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